Vanity Flair THEME

1114.25 -37.39 (-3.36%) Sell

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VANITYFLAIR THEME investors incur serious losses

14 min read

~VANITYFLAIR is a falling knife that can bleed you if you catch it today. On a longer term basis, investors in Vanity Flair made +0.02% per day. Friday's performance of -3.36% was a underperformance compared to it's daily average.

[Theme constituents]

Buy-and-Hold investors in ~VANITYFLAIR experienced a maximum drawdown of -13.89% over the last three months. It delivered -11.88% during this strong bearish trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, where the short signals were significantly more profitable than the long signals. The net profit from Short signals was +6.85%.

Trend

~VANITYFLAIR has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 13 Oct, 2016 to 15 Mar, 2018. Over the last 2 years and 3 months, ~VANITYFLAIR underperformed the SP500 index on 48% days. Which indicates that on days ~VANITYFLAIR underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months ~VANITYFLAIR was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.19% per day. It's best return during this period (of +2.4%) was on Thursday, 1 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -3.36%) was on Friday, 7 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 6 profitable days, which started on 30 Oct, 2018 and went on till 6 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +7.54% to investors.

The last 12 months saw ~VANITYFLAIR's investors making profits in 8 months and incurring losses in 4 months. During the last year, ~VANITYFLAIR and SP500 index had the same number of profitable months. ~VANITYFLAIR was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -8.86% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. ~VANITYFLAIR had a longer winning streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It went up in 7 straight months (from Mar 2018 to Sep 2018) during which period it delivered +18.72%.

"Well, I think that there's a very thin dividing line between success and failure. And I think if you start a business without financial backing, you're likely to go the wrong side of that dividing line.

~VANITYFLAIR is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~VANITYFLAIR's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 7 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~VANITYFLAIR has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~VANITYFLAIR to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~VANITYFLAIR a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

~VANITYFLAIR has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~VANITYFLAIR must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~VANITYFLAIR.

Based on your interest in ~VANITYFLAIR you may find it interesting to know that BURL, EHC and AAXN are small caps that have all shown remarkable performance and qualify to be on every investor's watchlist.

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