Republican Donors THEME

1304.31 -26.44 (-2.03%) Sell

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Looking to invest in REPUBLICANDONOR THEME? Avoid at the moment as it has destroyed investor wealth

14 min read

Republican Donors has destroyed investor wealth on Friday. It fell by -2.03% to close at 1304.31 which is it's 52 week low, down -17% from it's 52 week high.

[Theme constituents]

~REPUBLICANDONOR showed a strong bearish trend over the last 3 months. During this period ~REPUBLICANDONOR fell by -12.95% and saw a maximum drawdown of -14.6%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +11.32%.


~REPUBLICANDONOR has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 6 Apr, 2016 to 1 Feb, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 3 days, ~REPUBLICANDONOR underperformed the SP500 index on 44% days. Which indicates that on days ~REPUBLICANDONOR underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months ~REPUBLICANDONOR was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.21% per day. It's best return during this period (of +2.05%) was on Wednesday, 28 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -4.05%) was on Tuesday, 4 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 8 profitable days, which started on 12 Sep, 2018 and went on till 21 Sep, 2018. This bullish trend returned +2.11% to investors.

During the last year ~REPUBLICANDONOR had 6 profitable months and 6 loss making months. ~REPUBLICANDONOR returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. ~REPUBLICANDONOR was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -7.81% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. ~REPUBLICANDONOR had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 3 straight months during the last year. It is interesting to note that both ~REPUBLICANDONOR and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

Success seems to be connected with action. Successful people keep moving. They make mistakes, but they don't quit.
-- Conrad Hilton

~REPUBLICANDONOR is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~REPUBLICANDONOR's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 7 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~REPUBLICANDONOR has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~REPUBLICANDONOR to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~REPUBLICANDONOR a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than ~REPUBLICANDONOR. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than ~REPUBLICANDONOR in your portfolio. ~REPUBLICANDONOR usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

Based on your interest in ~REPUBLICANDONOR you may find it interesting to know that NVCN and EPIX are highly volatile and therefore risky. Investors should consider limiting their exposure to these instruments (because of their volatile nature).

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