Lobbying THEME

1650.16 -3.5 (-0.21%) Sell

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LOBBYING THEME is a falling knife, continues to bleed every investor trying to catch it

14 min read

Lobbying delivered massive losses today. It delivered -0.21% to close at 1650.16. During the last week it delivered -5.3% and saw a maximum drawdown of -5.3%.

[Theme constituents]

~LOBBYING is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months 2 bearish signals have generated a profit of +12.72% for investors.


~LOBBYING has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 8 Feb, 2016 to 23 Nov, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 14 days, ~LOBBYING outperformed the SP500 index on 55% days.

During the last three months ~LOBBYING was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.3% per day. It's best return during this period (of +3.15%) was on Friday, 2 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -5.91%) was on Tuesday, 27 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 8 losing days, which started on 4 Oct, 2018 and ended on 15 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -7.33% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw ~LOBBYING's investors making profits in 9 months and incurring losses in 3 months. During the last year, ~LOBBYING delivered profits in more months than SP500 index. ~LOBBYING was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Dec 2018, returned -12.3% compared to -7.75% returned by SP500 index in Dec 2018. ~LOBBYING had a longer winning streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It went up in 7 straight months (from Mar 2018 to Sep 2018) during which period it delivered +26.09%. It is interesting to note that both ~LOBBYING and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

It's how you deal with failure that determines how you achieve success.
-- David Feherty

~LOBBYING is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~LOBBYING's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 28 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~LOBBYING has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~LOBBYING to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~LOBBYING a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

~LOBBYING has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~LOBBYING must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~LOBBYING.

Based on your interest in ~LOBBYING you may find it interesting to know that CSCO is a large cap that has shown remarkable performance and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.

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