Waiting to invest in HEALTHYTASTY THEME? Avoid at the moment as it is a falling knife that can bleed you if you catch it

~HEALTHYTASTY is a falling knife that can bleed you if you catch it today. On a longer term basis, investors in Healthy And Tasty made -0.03% per day. Tuesday's performance of -0.54% was a underperformance compared to it's daily average.

[Theme constituents]

~HEALTHYTASTY showed a strong bearish trend over the last 3 months. During this period ~HEALTHYTASTY delivered -28.87% and saw a maximum drawdown of -29.47%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +26.19%.

Trend

Monthly Performance

Alpha (outperformance)

Heatmap

Volatility

Return distribution

~HEALTHYTASTY has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 27 Jul, 2016 to 13 Dec, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 14 days, ~HEALTHYTASTY underperformed the SP500 index on 51% days.

During the last three months ~HEALTHYTASTY was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.53% per day. It's best return during this period (of +2.29%) was on Tuesday, 30 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -3.52%) was on Friday, 7 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 14 losing days, which started on 25 Sep, 2018 and ended on 12 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -9.31% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw ~HEALTHYTASTY's investors making profits in 5 months and incurring losses in 7 months. ~HEALTHYTASTY was less consistent in delivering monthly returs than SP500 index. ~HEALTHYTASTY was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Dec 2018, returned -15.32% compared to -7.75% returned by SP500 index in Dec 2018. ~HEALTHYTASTY had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 4 straight months (from Sep 2018 to Dec 2018) during which period it delivered -32.3%. It is interesting to note that both ~HEALTHYTASTY and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

Anybody who plays the stock market not as an insider is like a man buying cows in the moonlight.
-- Daniel Drew

~HEALTHYTASTY is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~HEALTHYTASTY's volatility from 10 Oct, 2018 to 10 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~HEALTHYTASTY has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~HEALTHYTASTY to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~HEALTHYTASTY a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

~HEALTHYTASTY has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~HEALTHYTASTY must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~HEALTHYTASTY.

Based on your interest in ~HEALTHYTASTY you may find it interesting to know that AMRH and RGSE have both shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.