Guns Guadrs And Gates THEME

1079.19 +5.5 (+0.51%) Sell

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GUNSGUADRSGATES THEME is a falling knife, continues to bleed every investor trying to catch it

14 min read

Guns Guadrs And Gates has destroyed investor wealth on Tuesday. It surged by +0.51% to close at 1079.19. On a day when the overall market breadth was 34%, it closed higher than 69% of the market. In comparison, the benchmark SP500 index closed today at +0.01%.

[Theme constituents]

Buy-and-Hold investors in ~GUNSGUADRSGATES experienced a maximum drawdown of -22.27% over the last three months. It delivered -21.35% during this strong bearish trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, where the short signals were significantly more profitable than the long signals. The net profit from Short signals was +19.77%.

Trend

~GUNSGUADRSGATES has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 2 Feb, 2018 to 10 Sep, 2018. Over the last 1 year 6 months and 11 days, ~GUNSGUADRSGATES outperformed the SP500 index on 53% days.

~GUNSGUADRSGATES returned losses on 62% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.37% per day. It delivered it's worst daily return of -4.33%, during this period, on Tuesday, 4 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 12 losing days, which started on 28 Sep, 2018 and ended on 15 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -12.08% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw ~GUNSGUADRSGATES's investors making profits in 8 months and incurring losses in 4 months. During the last year, ~GUNSGUADRSGATES and SP500 index had the same number of profitable months. ~GUNSGUADRSGATES was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -14.2% compared to -7.75% returned by SP500 index in Dec 2018. ~GUNSGUADRSGATES had a longer winning streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It went up in 7 straight months (from Mar 2018 to Sep 2018) during which period it delivered +31.87%. It is interesting to note that both ~GUNSGUADRSGATES and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

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~GUNSGUADRSGATES is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~GUNSGUADRSGATES's volatility from 21 Sep, 2018 to 4 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~GUNSGUADRSGATES has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~GUNSGUADRSGATES to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~GUNSGUADRSGATES a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

~GUNSGUADRSGATES has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~GUNSGUADRSGATES must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~GUNSGUADRSGATES.

Based on your interest in ~GUNSGUADRSGATES you may find it interesting to know that SQ and EW are both mid caps that have shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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