Couch Commerce THEME

1262.81 +0.26 (+0.02%) Sell

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COUCHCOMMERCE THEME is a falling knife, continues to bleed every investor trying to catch it

14 min read

Couch Commerce delivered massive losses today. It surged by +0.02% to close at 1262.81. During the last week it delivered -5.6% and saw a maximum drawdown of -5.62% before bouncing back.

[Theme constituents]

~COUCHCOMMERCE is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months 2 bearish signals have generated a profit of +6.57% for investors.

Trend

~COUCHCOMMERCE has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 7 Mar, 2017 to 20 Jun, 2018. Over the last 2 years and 2 days, ~COUCHCOMMERCE outperformed the SP500 index on 51% days.

~COUCHCOMMERCE returned losses on 61% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.22% per day. It delivered it's worst daily return of -4.58%, during this period, on Wednesday, 10 Oct, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 5 losing days, which started on 4 Oct, 2018 and ended on 10 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -9.78% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw ~COUCHCOMMERCE's investors making profits in 7 months and incurring losses in 5 months. ~COUCHCOMMERCE was less consistent in delivering monthly returs than SP500 index. ~COUCHCOMMERCE was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -11.01% compared to -7.75% returned by SP500 index in Dec 2018. ~COUCHCOMMERCE had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 3 straight months during the last year.

Anybody who plays the stock market not as an insider is like a man buying cows in the moonlight.
-- Daniel Drew

~COUCHCOMMERCE is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~COUCHCOMMERCE's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 2 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~COUCHCOMMERCE has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~COUCHCOMMERCE to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~COUCHCOMMERCE a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

~COUCHCOMMERCE has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~COUCHCOMMERCE must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~COUCHCOMMERCE.

Based on your interest in ~COUCHCOMMERCE you may find it interesting to know that NFEC has shown remarkable performance this year and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.

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