ALLAMERICAN THEME investors hurt by serious losses
18 Dec, 201814 min read
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All American delivered massive losses on Tuesday. It fell by -0.78% to close at 1410.14 which is it's 52 week low, down -20% from it's 52 week high.
Buy-and-Hold investors in ~ALLAMERICAN experienced a maximum drawdown of -19.6% over the last three months. It fell by -18.87% during this strong bearish trending period. There were no long signals during this period, where the short signal generated good profits of +18.87% for investors.
~ALLAMERICAN has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 25 Jan, 2016 to 20 Jun, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 14 days, ~ALLAMERICAN outperformed the SP500 index on 54% days.
~ALLAMERICAN returned losses on 62% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.32% per day. It delivered it's worst daily return of -4.63%, during this period, on Tuesday, 4 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 8 profitable days, which started on 29 Oct, 2018 and went on till 7 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +7.97% to investors.
During the last year ~ALLAMERICAN had 7 profitable months and 5 loss making months. ~ALLAMERICAN returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. ~ALLAMERICAN was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Dec 2018, returned -11.8% compared to -7.75% returned by SP500 index in Dec 2018. ~ALLAMERICAN had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 3 straight months during the last year. It is interesting to note that both ~ALLAMERICAN and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.
Live as if you were to die tomorrow. Learn as if you were to live forever.
-- Mahatma Gandhi
~ALLAMERICAN is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~ALLAMERICAN's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 26 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~ALLAMERICAN has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~ALLAMERICAN to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~ALLAMERICAN a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.
~ALLAMERICAN has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~ALLAMERICAN must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~ALLAMERICAN.
Based on your interest in ~ALLAMERICAN you may find it interesting to know that NSPR and AYTU have both shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.
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