WALKER & DUNLOP, INC.

43.55 +1.23 (+2.83%) Sell

WD investors hold onto their investments as it marginally outperforms

13 min read

WALKER & DUNLOP, INC. outperformed the broader market today. It increased by +2.83% to close at 43.55. It's recent 5 day performance has been +1.63%, -2.25%, -4.22%, +0.61% and -6.86%.

[Themes containing WD]

WD is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months 3 bearish signals have generated a profit of +2.74% for investors.

Trend

WD has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 20 Apr, 2016 to 24 Apr, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 8 days, WD outperformed the SP500 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days WD outperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months WD was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.28% per day. It's best return during this period (of +9.15%) was on Thursday, 1 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -14.3%) was on Wednesday, 31 Oct, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 14 losing days, which started on 26 Sep, 2018 and ended on 15 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -11.76% of investor capital.

During the last year WD had 4 profitable months and 8 loss making months. WD returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. WD significantly outperformed SP500 index in Mar 2018, when it returned +22.95% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. WD had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 3 straight months (from Apr 2018 to Jun 2018) during which period it delivered -6.54%.

It's not how much money you make, but how much money you keep, how hard it works for you, and how many generations you keep it for.
-- Robert Kiyosaki

WD is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in WD's volatility from 3 Oct, 2018 to 1 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that WD has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than WD. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than WD in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than WD.

Based on your interest in WD you may find it interesting to know that TNDM, NIHD and HEAR have all shown remarkable performance this year and deserve to be on every investor's watchlist.

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