12.94 +0.14 (+1.09%) Sell

Are you evaluating investing in UMH? Consider as it managed to marginally outperform the broader market

13 min read

UMH PROPERTIES, INC. delivered stellar performance on Thursday. It gained +1.09% to close at 12.94. It is currently trading -21% below it's 52 week high of 16.56.

[Themes containing UMH]

UMH showed a strong down trend over the last 3 months. During this period UMH lost -17.05% and saw a maximum drawdown of -21.25%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +17.05%.


UMH has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 9 days, UMH outperformed the SP500 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days UMH outperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the SP500 index.

UMH returned losses on 56% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.28% per day. It delivered it's worst daily return of -6.67%, during this period, on Friday, 2 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 25 Sep, 2018 and went on till 28 Sep, 2018. The bullish trend returned +1.42% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 21 Nov, 2018 and ended on 28 Nov, 2018. This bearish trend lost -4.41% of investor capital.

UMH had 5 profitable and 7 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, UMH underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. UMH significantly outperformed SP500 index in Mar 2018, when it returned +14.91% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. UMH had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 4 straight months during the last year.

I'm involved in the stock market, which is fun and, sometimes, very painful.
-- Regis Philbin

UMH is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in UMH's volatility from 2 Oct, 2018 to 2 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 14 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that UMH has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than UMH. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than UMH in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than UMH.

Based on your interest in UMH you may find it interesting to know that ECYT and TNDM have both shown remarkable performance this year and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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