21.08 -1.07 (-5.09%) Sell

RICK is a falling knife, continues to bleed every investor trying to catch it

13 min read

RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS, INC. was among the worst performers today. It returned -5.09% to close at 21.08. It's recent 5 day performance has been +0.09%, -0.76%, -5.77%, -4.55% and +7.76%.

[Themes containing RICK]

RICK showed a strong down trend over the last 3 months. During this period RICK returned -30.43% and saw a maximum drawdown of -30.86%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +30.43%.


RICK has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 26 Jul, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, RICK outperformed the SP500 index on 51% days.

During the last three months RICK was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.55% per day. It's best return during this period (of +7.76%) was on Monday, 10 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -5.77%) was on Wednesday, 12 Dec, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 18 Sep, 2018 and went on till 20 Sep, 2018. The bullish trend returned +0.63% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 21 Sep, 2018 and ended on 26 Sep, 2018. This bearish trend lost -7.16% of investor capital.

On monthly basis, RICK delivered losses in more months over the last year, than profits. RICK delivered profits less regularly than SP500 index. RICK significantly outperformed SP500 index in May 2018, when it returned +17.51% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. RICK had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 4 straight months (from Sep 2018 to Dec 2018) during which period it delivered -35.7%. It is interesting to note that both RICK and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

It's not how much money you make, but how much money you keep, how hard it works for you, and how many generations you keep it for.
-- Robert Kiyosaki

RICK is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in RICK's volatility from 20 Sep, 2018 to 10 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that RICK has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than RICK. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than RICK in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than RICK.

Based on your interest in RICK you may find it interesting to know that BURL and KEYS are both small caps that have shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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