REGENCY CENTERS CORP

61.5 -0.79 (-1.28%) Sell

REG investors dump it

13 min read

REGENCY CENTERS CORP is a falling knife that can bleed you if you catch it today. It fell by -1.28% to close at 61.5. During the last week it fell by -4.15% and saw a maximum drawdown of -4.15%.

[Themes containing REG]

REG is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months trading short signals has not been a profitable strategy for REG's investors in general. However, this strategy had significantly lower risk when compared to Buy-and-Hold investing (which returned -6.09%). It is therefore better to tread with caution in the current downtrend by limiting your allocation to REG.

Trend

REG has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 5 Jul, 2016 to 18 May, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, REG underperformed the SP500 index on 49% days. Which indicates that on days REG underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months REG was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.09% per day. It's best return during this period (of +4.16%) was on Thursday, 6 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -2.69%) was on Wednesday, 12 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 5 profitable days, which started on 5 Nov, 2018 and went on till 9 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +3.82% to investors.

During the last year REG had 6 profitable months and 6 loss making months. REG returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. REG was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Jan 2018, returned -9.53% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. REG had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 3 straight months during the last year. It is interesting to note that both REG and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

"The monarchy is foremost a business, and it's important to them that the British public continue to finance the excessive luxurious lifestyles of the now quite enormous, wasteful and useless 'royal' family. I find it very sad.

REG is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in REG's volatility from 18 Sep, 2018 to 12 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that REG has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect REG to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes REG a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

REG has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, REG must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than REG.

Based on your interest in REG you may find it interesting to know that MGEE, MSI and SWK have all performed similar to REG and qualify as alternative investment candidates that must be evaluated for diversification.

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