11.94 +0.6 (+5.01%) Buy

Don't exit LCUT now, it outperformed most of it's peers

13 min read

LIFETIME BRANDS, INC was among the best performers on Wednesday. It returned +5.01% to close at 11.94. It is currently trading -34% below it's 52 week high of 18.35.

[Themes containing LCUT]

LCUT showed a up trend over the last 3 months. During this period LCUT returned +9.04% and saw a maximum drawdown of -16.61%. There was a long signal during this period which returned +15.36%.


LCUT has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 8 days, LCUT underperformed the SP500 index on 49% days. Which indicates that on days LCUT underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months LCUT delivered losses on 51% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a profit. It's best return during this period (of +8.03%) was on Thursday, 25 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -8.48%) was on Monday, 10 Dec, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 1 Oct, 2018 and went on till 5 Oct, 2018. The trend delivered -9.35% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 29 Oct, 2018 and ended on 2 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +6.43% to investors.

LCUT had 3 profitable and 9 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, LCUT underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. LCUT was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Feb 2018, returned -20.06% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. LCUT had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 4 straight months (from Feb 2018 to May 2018) during which period it delivered -43.21%. It is interesting to note that both LCUT and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

Too many people spend money they buy things they don't impress people that they don't like.
-- Will Rogers

LCUT is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in LCUT's volatility from 12 Oct, 2018 to 8 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that LCUT has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than LCUT. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than LCUT in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than LCUT.

On a general note (since you are interested in LCUT), HQY is a small cap that deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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