NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP

83.68 0.0 (0.0%) Sell

FIZZ continues its fall as more investors loose confidence

13 min read

NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP showed weakness today. It delivered 0.0% to close at 83.68. It's recent 5 day performance has been +0.74%, +0.26%, +3.31%, -0.06% and -1.91%.

[Themes containing FIZZ]

FIZZ showed a strong bearish trend over the last 3 months. During this period FIZZ delivered -30.0% and saw a maximum drawdown of -32.6%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +25.49%.

Trend

FIZZ has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 8 Feb, 2016 to 11 Sep, 2017. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 3 days, FIZZ outperformed the SP500 index on 54% days.

During the last three months FIZZ was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.53% per day. It's best return during this period (of +3.65%) was on Monday, 5 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.67%) was on Tuesday, 13 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 6 profitable days, which started on 1 Nov, 2018 and went on till 8 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +10.31% to investors.

The last 12 months saw FIZZ's investors making profits in 5 months and incurring losses in 7 months. FIZZ was less consistent in delivering monthly returs than SP500 index. FIZZ was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -18.34% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. FIZZ had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 4 straight months (from Sep 2018 to Dec 2018) during which period it delivered -29.09%. It is interesting to note that both FIZZ and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

Let him who would enjoy a good future waste none of his present.
-- Roger Babson

FIZZ is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in FIZZ's volatility from 26 Sep, 2018 to 7 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that FIZZ has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect FIZZ to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes FIZZ a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than FIZZ. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than FIZZ in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than FIZZ.

Based on your interest in FIZZ you may find it interesting to know that AAXN and ZBRA are both small caps that have shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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