15.97 -0.67 (-4.2%) Sell

Are you evaluating investing in SIEN? Avoid as it ranked among the worst performers

13 min read

SIENTRA, INC. ranked among the worst performers on Thursday. It lost -4.2% to close at 15.97. On a day when the overall market breadth was 35%, it closed higher than 77% of the market. In comparison, the benchmark SP500 index closed today at -0.0002%.

[Themes containing SIEN]

SIEN showed a strong down trend over the last 3 months. During this period SIEN lost -31.81% and saw a maximum drawdown of -34.74%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +32.04%.


SIEN has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 12 Sep, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 9 days, SIEN outperformed the SP500 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days SIEN outperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months SIEN was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.56% per day. It's best return during this period (of +7.02%) was on Wednesday, 31 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -8.6%) was on Friday, 26 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 11 Oct, 2018 and went on till 17 Oct, 2018. The bullish trend returned +17.45% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 6 Nov, 2018 and ended on 12 Nov, 2018. This bearish trend lost -19.39% of investor capital.

SIEN had 6 profitable and 6 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, SIEN underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. SIEN significantly outperformed SP500 index in Apr 2018, when it returned +39.18% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. SIEN and SP500 index, both had periods of 6 consecutive profitable months.

"You have venture capitalists. We view them as experts who also help finance your company and give directions and also some pretty candid discussions about what you have to do better.

SIEN is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in SIEN's volatility from 17 Sep, 2018 to 27 Sep, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that SIEN has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect SIEN to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes SIEN a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than SIEN. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than SIEN in your portfolio. SIEN usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

Based on your interest in SIEN you may find it interesting to know that HQY is a small cap that has shown remarkable performance and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.

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