COUPA SOFTWARE INC

65.17 +0.62 (+0.94%) Buy

COUP investors hold onto their investments as it marginally outperforms

13 min read

COUPA SOFTWARE INC ranked better than it's peers today. It delivered +0.94% to close at 65.17. During the last week it delivered -1.45% and saw a maximum drawdown of -9.1% before bouncing back.

[Themes containing COUP]

COUP is currently in a bullish trend. Over the last three months Buy-and-Hold has been a better strategy (returning -19.27%) for COUP's investors than trading long signals.

Trend

COUP has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 16 Mar, 2017 to 13 Sep, 2018. Over the last 2 years 2 months and 6 days, COUP outperformed the SP500 index on 54% days.

During the last three months COUP was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.23% per day. It's best return during this period (of +11.84%) was on Wednesday, 7 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -14.06%) was on Monday, 19 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 6 losing days, which started on 4 Oct, 2018 and ended on 11 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -18.96% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw COUP's investors making profits in 9 months and incurring losses in 3 months. During the last year, COUP delivered profits in more months than SP500 index. COUP significantly outperformed SP500 index in Jan 2018, when it returned +19.36% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. COUP and SP500 index, both had periods of 6 consecutive profitable months.

When I graduated, I promptly took a job in finance, making both my pre-med and poli-sci years essentially useless - or so I thought.
-- Yael Cohen

COUP is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in COUP's volatility from 28 Sep, 2018 to 30 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that COUP has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect COUP to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes COUP a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

COUP has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, COUP must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than COUP.

Based on your interest in COUP you may find it interesting to know that FCX has delivered similar performance as COUP and can be considered as an alternative investment candidate (to COUP).

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