Retail Shopping THEME

1994.11 -0.87 (-0.04%) Buy

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RETAILSHOPPING THEME investors looking to add more to current positions

13 min read

~RETAILSHOPPING is looking better than most other alternatives today. On a longer term basis, investors in Retail Shopping made +0.12% per day. Friday's performance of -0.04% was a significant underperformance compared to it's daily average.

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Buy-and-Hold investors in ~RETAILSHOPPING experienced a maximum drawdown of -18.84% over the last three months. It lost -7.72% during this down trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, where the short signals were significantly more profitable than the long signals.

Trend

~RETAILSHOPPING has been outperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 13 days, ~RETAILSHOPPING outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 48% days. Which indicates that on days ~RETAILSHOPPING outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.

During the last three months ~RETAILSHOPPING was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.12% per day. It's best return during this period (of +4.73%) was on Tuesday, 16 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -5.24%) was on Friday, 28 Sep, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 27 Sep, 2018 and went on till 9 Oct, 2018. The trend delivered -14.74% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 12 Nov, 2018 and ended on 21 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +3.56% to investors.

~RETAILSHOPPING had 7 profitable and 5 loss making months over the last year. ~RETAILSHOPPING was profitable in more months than NIFTY-50 index. ~RETAILSHOPPING was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Sep 2018, returned -19.05% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. ~RETAILSHOPPING had a longer winning streak of profitable months than NIFTY-50 index. It went up in 3 straight months (from Mar 2018 to May 2018) during which period it delivered +15.79%.

"There are no patents in finance.

~RETAILSHOPPING is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing a fall in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in ~RETAILSHOPPING's volatility from 16 Oct, 2018 to 21 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 21 Sep, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~RETAILSHOPPING has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~RETAILSHOPPING to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~RETAILSHOPPING a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than ~RETAILSHOPPING. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than ~RETAILSHOPPING in your portfolio. ~RETAILSHOPPING usually has shorter drawdown period than the NIFTY-50 index.

On a general note (since you are interested in ~RETAILSHOPPING), two mid cap instruments that deserve special mention are CUB and LTI. They have significantly outperformed the overall market.

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