SANWARIA continues to mint money for it's investors
18 Jan, 201914 min read
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SANWARIA CONSUMER LIMITED delivered good returns on Friday. It grew by +0.98% to close at 10.3. It is currently trading -64% below it's 52 week high of 29.1.
SANWARIA is currently in a up trend. Over the last three months Buy-and-Hold has been a better strategy (returning -13.81%) for SANWARIA's investors than trading long signals.
SANWARIA has been outperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, SANWARIA outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 45% days. Which indicates that on days SANWARIA outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.
During the last three months SANWARIA was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.2% per day. It's best return during this period (of +7.43%) was on Friday, 28 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -7.25%) was on Monday, 10 Dec, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 30 Nov, 2018 and went on till 5 Dec, 2018. The trend delivered -8.38% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 17 Dec, 2018 and ended on 21 Dec, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +10.21% to investors.
On monthly basis, SANWARIA delivered losses in more months over the last year, than profits. SANWARIA delivered profits less regularly than NIFTY-50 index. SANWARIA was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Jun 2018, returned -28.9% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. SANWARIA had a longer winning streak of losing months than NIFTY-50 index. It went down in 3 straight months (from Apr 2018 to Jun 2018) during which period it delivered -56.41%. It is interesting to note that both SANWARIA and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.
"All intelligent investing is value investing - acquiring more that you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock.
SANWARIA is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing a fall in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in SANWARIA's volatility from 22 Oct, 2018 to 16 Jan, 2019. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that SANWARIA has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that SANWARIA is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.
NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than SANWARIA. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than SANWARIA in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than SANWARIA.
On a general note (since you are interested in SANWARIA), if you are evaluating SANWARIA as an investment candidate, then you should read about AJMERA which has delivered similar performance and can help diversify your portfolio.
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