JUBILANT FOODWORKS LTD ranked better than it's peers on Friday. It delivered +0.47% to close at 1217.95. It is currently trading -22% below it's 52 week high of 1561.75.
Buy-and-Hold investors in JUBLFOOD experienced a maximum drawdown of -17.74% over the last three months. It fell by -3.97% during this bearish trending period. There were no long signals during this period, where the short signal generated profits of +3.97% for investors.
JUBLFOOD has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the NIFTY-50 index) from 30 May, 2017 to 28 Aug, 2018. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, JUBLFOOD outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days JUBLFOOD outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.
During the last three months JUBLFOOD delivered profits on 52% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a loss. It's best return during this period (of +5.72%) was on Monday, 3 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.0%) was on Thursday, 25 Oct, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 6 profitable days, which started on 7 Nov, 2018 and went on till 15 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +13.61% to investors.
During the last year JUBLFOOD had 5 profitable months and 7 loss making months. Profitable number of months of JUBLFOOD and NIFTY-50 index were the same. JUBLFOOD was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Sep 2018, returned -20.5% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. JUBLFOOD and NIFTY-50 index, both had periods of 2 consecutive profitable months.
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JUBLFOOD is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing decrease in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in JUBLFOOD's volatility from 19 Oct, 2018 to 18 Jan, 2019. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that JUBLFOOD has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that JUBLFOOD is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.
Investors trading in JUBLFOOD derivatives at this moment can consider 'Married Call' options strategy to receive better risk-adjusted returns.
JUBLFOOD has more chance of extreme outcomes than the NIFTY-50 index. Therefore, JUBLFOOD must receive a lower allocation than NIFTY-50 in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than JUBLFOOD.
Based on your interest in JUBLFOOD you may find it interesting to know that BATAINDIA is a mid cap that has shown remarkable performance and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.
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