JUBLFOOD investors elated by performance
18 Jan, 201913 min read
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JUBILANT FOODWORKS LTD ranked better than it's peers on Friday. It delivered +0.47% to close at 1217.95. It is currently trading -22% below it's 52 week high of 1561.75.
Buy-and-Hold investors in JUBLFOOD experienced a maximum drawdown of -17.74% over the last three months. It fell by -3.97% during this bearish trending period. There were no long signals during this period, where the short signal generated profits of +3.97% for investors.
JUBLFOOD has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the NIFTY-50 index) from 30 May, 2017 to 28 Aug, 2018. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, JUBLFOOD outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days JUBLFOOD outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.
During the last three months JUBLFOOD delivered profits on 52% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a loss. It's best return during this period (of +5.72%) was on Monday, 3 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.0%) was on Thursday, 25 Oct, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 6 profitable days, which started on 7 Nov, 2018 and went on till 15 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +13.61% to investors.
During the last year JUBLFOOD had 5 profitable months and 7 loss making months. Profitable number of months of JUBLFOOD and NIFTY-50 index were the same. JUBLFOOD was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Sep 2018, returned -20.5% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. JUBLFOOD and NIFTY-50 index, both had periods of 2 consecutive profitable months.
"You don't want to have so much money going toward your mortgage every month that you can't enjoy life or take care of your other financial responsibilities.
JUBLFOOD is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing decrease in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in JUBLFOOD's volatility from 19 Oct, 2018 to 18 Jan, 2019. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that JUBLFOOD has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that JUBLFOOD is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.
Investors trading in JUBLFOOD derivatives at this moment can consider 'Married Call' options strategy to receive better risk-adjusted returns.
JUBLFOOD has more chance of extreme outcomes than the NIFTY-50 index. Therefore, JUBLFOOD must receive a lower allocation than NIFTY-50 in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than JUBLFOOD.
Based on your interest in JUBLFOOD you may find it interesting to know that BATAINDIA is a mid cap that has shown remarkable performance and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.
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