Looking to invest in GABRIEL? Look for alternatives because it ranked worse than it's peers

GABRIEL ranked worse than it's peers today. On a longer term basis, investors in GABRIEL INDIA LTD made +0.14% per day. Friday's performance of -0.79% was a underperformance compared to it's daily average.

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GABRIEL showed a strong bullish trend over the last 3 months. During this period GABRIEL increased by +14.39% and saw a maximum drawdown of -9.8%. It has been unusually choppy during this period. Long term investors are better off avoiding investing in GABRIEL till volatility reduces and a clear trend emerges.

Trend

Monthly Performance

Alpha (outperformance)

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Volatility

Return distribution

GABRIEL has been outperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the NIFTY-50 index) from 27 May, 2016 to 14 Sep, 2017. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, GABRIEL outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days GABRIEL outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.

During the last three months GABRIEL was mostly profitable and delivered on average +0.23% per day. It's best return during this period (of +6.53%) was on Monday, 31 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -4.1%) was on Tuesday, 23 Oct, 2018. The longest stort-term trends during this period were 5 profitable and losing days. The bullish trend (which returned +10.06%) started on 24 Oct, 2018 and went on till 30 Oct, 2018 while the bearish trend (which returned -8.12%) started on 4 Dec, 2018 and went on till 10 Dec, 2018.

During the last year GABRIEL had 5 profitable months and 7 loss making months. Profitable number of months of GABRIEL and NIFTY-50 index were the same. GABRIEL was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Sep 2018, returned -14.47% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. GABRIEL and NIFTY-50 index, both had periods of 2 consecutive profitable months. It is interesting to note that both GABRIEL and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

The Stock Market is designed to transfer money from the Active to the Patient.
-- Warren Buffett

GABRIEL is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing decrease in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in GABRIEL's volatility from 22 Oct, 2018 to 18 Jan, 2019. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that GABRIEL has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than GABRIEL. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than GABRIEL in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than GABRIEL.

Based on your interest in GABRIEL you may find it interesting to know that VINATIORGA, IGARASHI and NIITTECH are small caps that have all shown remarkable performance and qualify to be on every investor's watchlist.