BFINVEST continues its fall as more investors loose confidence
23 Jan, 201913 min read
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BFINVEST showed weakness today. On a longer term basis, investors in BF INVESTMENT LIMITED made +0.17% per day. Wednesday's performance of -0.17% was a underperformance compared to it's daily average.
Buy-and-Hold investors in BFINVEST experienced a maximum drawdown of -18.17% over the last three months. It increased by +8.03% during this bullish trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, while the long signals were significantly more profitable than the short signals.
BFINVEST has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the NIFTY-50 index) from 22 Jul, 2016 to 27 Nov, 2017. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, BFINVEST outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 43% days. Which indicates that on days BFINVEST outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.
During the last three months BFINVEST delivered losses on 58% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a profit. It's best return during this period (of +6.9%) was on Monday, 29 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -5.03%) was on Monday, 10 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 6 losing days, which started on 3 Dec, 2018 and ended on 10 Dec, 2018. This bearish trend lost -18.28% of investor capital.
During the last year BFINVEST had 5 profitable months and 7 loss making months. BFINVEST returned profits in more months than NIFTY-50 index. BFINVEST significantly outperformed NIFTY-50 index in Aug 2018, when it returned +30.2% compared to +6.56% returned by NIFTY-50 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jul 2018. BFINVEST and NIFTY-50 index, both had periods of 2 consecutive profitable months. It is interesting to note that both BFINVEST and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.
Security depends not so much upon how much you have, as upon how much you can do without.
-- Joseph Wood Krutch
BFINVEST is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing decrease in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in BFINVEST's volatility from 24 Oct, 2018 to 23 Jan, 2019. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that BFINVEST has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that BFINVEST is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.
NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than BFINVEST. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than BFINVEST in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than BFINVEST.
Based on your interest in BFINVEST you may find it interesting to know that IGARASHI has shown remarkable performance this year and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.
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