ARIES AGRO LTD.

91.95 +1.16 (+1.27%) Sell

Joy for ARIES investors as it performed better than the broader market

13 min read

ARIES AGRO LTD. ranked among the best performers today. It delivered +1.27% to close at 91.95. During the last week it fell by -7.63% and saw a maximum drawdown of -8.79% before bouncing back.

[Themes containing ARIES]

Buy-and-Hold investors in ARIES experienced a maximum drawdown of -19.9% over the last three months. It fell by -1.5% during this bearish trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, where the short signals were marginally more profitable than the long signals. The net profit from Short signals was +3.39%.

Trend

ARIES has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the NIFTY-50 index) from 23 Oct, 2017 to 20 Jul, 2018. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, ARIES underperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 54% days.

During the last three months ARIES was mostly profitable and delivered on average +0.01% per day. It's best return during this period (of +13.1%) was on Thursday, 1 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -4.18%) was on Friday, 21 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trends during this period were 5 profitable and losing days. The bullish trend (which returned +8.52%) started on 6 Nov, 2018 and went on till 13 Nov, 2018 while the bearish trend (which returned -11.14%) started on 16 Nov, 2018 and went on till 22 Nov, 2018.

During the last year ARIES had 6 profitable months and 6 loss making months. ARIES returned profits in more months than NIFTY-50 index. ARIES was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Jun 2018, returned -22.07% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. ARIES had a longer winning streak of profitable months than NIFTY-50 index. It went up in 3 straight months (from Oct 2018 to Dec 2018) during which period it delivered +10.05%. It is interesting to note that both ARIES and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

Greed is not a financial issue. It's a heart issue.
-- Andy Stanley

ARIES is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing decrease in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in ARIES's volatility from 1 Nov, 2018 to 17 Jan, 2019. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ARIES has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that ARIES is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than ARIES. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than ARIES in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ARIES.

Based on your interest in ARIES you may find it interesting to know that HATSUN and CUB are both mid caps that have shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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