Toys Games Hobbies is a falling knife that can bleed you if you catch it on Friday. It delivered -3.17% to close at 1336.99. It is currently trading -30% below it's 52 week high of 1921.33.
~TOYSHOBBIES is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months 3 bearish signals have generated a profit of +14.25% for investors.
~TOYSHOBBIES has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 8 Jan, 2018 to 10 Sep, 2018. Over the last 1 year 1 month and 5 day, ~TOYSHOBBIES outperformed the SP500 index on 52% days.
During the last three months ~TOYSHOBBIES was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.54% per day. It's best return during this period (of +4.9%) was on Thursday, 1 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -8.4%) was on Friday, 9 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 5 losing days, which started on 11 Sep, 2018 and ended on 17 Sep, 2018. This bearish trend lost -11.88% of investor capital.
The last 12 months saw ~TOYSHOBBIES's investors making profits in 8 months and incurring losses in 4 months. During the last year, ~TOYSHOBBIES and SP500 index had the same number of profitable months. ~TOYSHOBBIES was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -12.98% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. ~TOYSHOBBIES and SP500 index, both had periods of 6 consecutive profitable months. It is interesting to note that both ~TOYSHOBBIES and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.
The hardest thing to understand in the world is the income tax.
-- Albert Einstein
~TOYSHOBBIES is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in ~TOYSHOBBIES's volatility from 11 Sep, 2018 to 28 Sep, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~TOYSHOBBIES has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.
~TOYSHOBBIES has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~TOYSHOBBIES must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~TOYSHOBBIES.
Based on your interest in ~TOYSHOBBIES you may find it interesting to know that ATSG and AABA have both performed similar to ~TOYSHOBBIES and can be considered by investors as alternative investment options.
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