Good Cash Flow THEME

1269.24 -21.29 (-1.68%) Sell

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Don't even consider investing in GOODCASHFLOW THEME now, it is an investor's nightmare

14 min read

Good Cash Flow was among the worst performers on Monday. It lost -1.68% to close at 1269.24. On a day when the overall market breadth was 34%, it closed higher than 73% of the market. In comparison, the benchmark SP500 index closed today at -0.0191%.

[Theme constituents]

~GOODCASHFLOW showed a strong down trend over the last 3 months. During this period ~GOODCASHFLOW lost -11.8% and saw a maximum drawdown of -13.1%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +11.03%.

Trend

~GOODCASHFLOW has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 15 Jun, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, ~GOODCASHFLOW underperformed the SP500 index on 43% days. Which indicates that on days ~GOODCASHFLOW underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months ~GOODCASHFLOW was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.19% per day. It's best return during this period (of +2.48%) was on Tuesday, 16 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -4.22%) was on Wednesday, 24 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 26 Sep, 2018 and went on till 1 Oct, 2018. The bullish trend returned +0.67% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 9 Oct, 2018 and ended on 15 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -4.88% of investor capital.

~GOODCASHFLOW had 7 profitable and 5 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, ~GOODCASHFLOW underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. ~GOODCASHFLOW was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Dec 2018, returned -7.77% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. ~GOODCASHFLOW had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 5 straight months during the last year. It is interesting to note that both ~GOODCASHFLOW and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

"There is no one-decision stocks

~GOODCASHFLOW is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ~GOODCASHFLOW's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 25 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ~GOODCASHFLOW has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ~GOODCASHFLOW to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ~GOODCASHFLOW a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

~GOODCASHFLOW has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, ~GOODCASHFLOW must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ~GOODCASHFLOW.

Based on your interest in ~GOODCASHFLOW you may find it interesting to know that TYHT and NSPR have both shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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