VITAMIN SHOPPE, INC. delivered massive losses today. It lost -4.41% to close at 5.42. It's recent 5 day performance has been -9.13%, +5.41%, -7.79%, -3.46% and -7.77%.
VSI is currently in a down trend. The current bearish signal has generated a profit of +47.63% for investors in the last three months.
During the last three months VSI was mostly loss making and delivered on average -1.19% per day. It's best return during this period (of +13.14%) was on Tuesday, 13 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -14.54%) was on Wednesday, 7 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 26 Sep, 2018 and went on till 2 Oct, 2018. The trend delivered -17.17% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 27 Nov, 2018 and ended on 30 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +12.89% to investors.
VSI had 7 profitable and 5 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, VSI underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. VSI significantly outperformed SP500 index in Aug 2018, when it returned +53.29% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. VSI and SP500 index, both had periods of 6 consecutive profitable months. It is interesting to note that both VSI and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.
I'm a great believer in luck, and I find the harder I work the more I have of it.
-- Thomas Jefferson
VSI is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in VSI's volatility from 17 Sep, 2018 to 25 Sep, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that VSI has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect VSI to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes VSI a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.
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