32.5 -1.31 (-4.04%) Sell

VICR is a falling knife, continues to bleed every investor trying to catch it

13 min read

VICR ranked among the worst performers today. On a longer term basis, investors in VICOR CORP made +0.16% per day. Friday's performance of -4.04% was a significant underperformance compared to it's daily average.

[Themes containing VICR]

VICR showed a strong down trend over the last 3 months. During this period VICR lost -43.33% and saw a maximum drawdown of -44.03%. There were 2 short signals during this period that returned a cumulative of +35.72% to investors.


VICR has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 9 Aug, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 3 days, VICR outperformed the SP500 index on 49% days. Which indicates that on days VICR outperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months VICR was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.8% per day. It's best return during this period (of +11.28%) was on Wednesday, 17 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.14%) was on Monday, 12 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 16 Oct, 2018 and went on till 17 Oct, 2018. The bullish trend returned +15.24% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 18 Oct, 2018 and ended on 24 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -17.65% of investor capital.

VICR had 6 profitable and 6 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, VICR underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. VICR significantly outperformed SP500 index in Feb 2018, when it returned +40.71% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. VICR had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 4 straight months during the last year. It is interesting to note that both VICR and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

You must gain control over your money or the lack of it will forever control you.
-- Dave Ramsey

VICR is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in VICR's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 1 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that VICR has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than VICR. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than VICR in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than VICR.

On a general note (since you are interested in VICR), V is a large cap that deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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