76.15 -0.18 (-0.24%) Sell

VFC is a falling knife, continues to bleed every investor trying to catch it

13 min read

V F CORP significantly underperformed today. It fell by -0.24% to close at 76.15. It's recent 5 day performance has been +0.43%, -4.94%, -0.49%, -3.24% and +2.14%.

[Themes containing VFC]

VFC is currently in a bearish trend. The current bearish signal has generated a profit of +11.7% for investors in the last three months.


VFC has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 7 Feb, 2017 to 10 Aug, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 7 days, VFC underperformed the SP500 index on 47% days. Which indicates that on days VFC underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months VFC delivered profits on 50% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a loss. It's best return during this period (of +2.82%) was on Thursday, 25 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.71%) was on Friday, 19 Oct, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 6 profitable days, which started on 29 Oct, 2018 and went on till 5 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +8.71% to investors.

During the last year VFC had 7 profitable months and 5 loss making months. VFC returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. VFC significantly outperformed SP500 index in Jul 2018, when it returned +13.34% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. VFC and SP500 index, both had periods of 6 consecutive profitable months. It is interesting to note that both VFC and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

"I'm involved in the stock market, which is fun and, sometimes, very painful.

VFC is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in VFC's volatility from 12 Sep, 2018 to 19 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 14 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that VFC has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect VFC to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes VFC a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

Investors trading in VFC derivatives at this moment can consider 'Covered Call' options strategy to receive better risk-adjusted returns.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than VFC. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than VFC in your portfolio. VFC usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

On a general note (since you are interested in VFC), AMD is a mid cap that deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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