U S PHYSICAL THERAPY INC delivered good returns on Wednesday. It grew by +2.29% to close at 114.63. It is currently trading +62% above it's 52 week low of 70.65 and is down only -10% from it's 52 week high.
USPH showed a down trend over the last 3 months. During this period USPH lost -9.24% and saw a maximum drawdown of -18.2%. It has been unusually choppy during this period. Long term investors are better off avoiding investing in USPH till volatility reduces and a clear trend emerges.
During the last three months USPH was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.13% per day. It's best return during this period (of +7.48%) was on Thursday, 1 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -7.48%) was on Tuesday, 4 Dec, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 17 Sep, 2018 and went on till 21 Sep, 2018. The trend delivered -9.32% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 15 Oct, 2018 and ended on 17 Oct, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +4.74% to investors.
USPH had 9 profitable and 3 loss making months over the last year. USPH was profitable in more months than SP500 index. USPH significantly outperformed SP500 index in Aug 2018, when it returned +19.57% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. USPH had a longer winning streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It went up in 8 straight months (from Jan 2018 to Aug 2018) during which period it delivered +54.39%. It is interesting to note that both USPH and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.
The stock market is a discounter of all known information.
-- Kenneth Fisher
USPH is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in USPH's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 15 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that USPH has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.
On a general note (since you are interested in USPH), two instruments that have delivered similar performance as USPH are MNRO and GRMN. They are suitable as good alternative investment candidates that can diversify your portfolio.
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