14.13 0.0 (0.0%) Sell

Search for alternative investments is on for TLRD investors as it ranked worse than it's peers

13 min read

TAILORED BRANDS INC showed weakness on Thursday. It fell by 0.0% to close at 14.13 which is it's 52 week low, down -59% from it's 52 week high.

[Themes containing TLRD]

Buy-and-Hold investors in TLRD experienced a maximum drawdown of -45.36% over the last three months. It fell by -45.36% during this strong bearish trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, where the short signals were significantly more profitable than the long signals. The net profit from Short signals was +31.84%.


TLRD has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 22 Jun, 2017 to 21 May, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 9 days, TLRD underperformed the SP500 index on 49% days. Which indicates that on days TLRD underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months TLRD was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.83% per day. It's best return during this period (of +6.1%) was on Monday, 26 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -29.84%) was on Thursday, 13 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 7 losing days, which started on 8 Nov, 2018 and ended on 16 Nov, 2018. This bearish trend lost -6.04% of investor capital.

During the last year TLRD had 7 profitable months and 5 loss making months. TLRD returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. TLRD was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Dec 2018, returned -38.3% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. TLRD had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 3 straight months during the last year.

Money is a terrible master but an excellent servant.
-- P.T. Barnum

TLRD is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in TLRD's volatility from 24 Sep, 2018 to 13 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 14 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that TLRD has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect TLRD to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes TLRD a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than TLRD. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than TLRD in your portfolio. TLRD usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

On a general note (since you are interested in TLRD), if you are an investor in IX, you need to be extra careful (consider limiting your exposure or diversifying) as it is extremely unpredictable and therefore risky.

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