NUTRI SYSTEM INC

43.89 +0.08 (+0.18%) Buy

Time to party for NTRI investors as it outperforms broader market

13 min read

NUTRI SYSTEM INC was among the best performers on Monday. It returned +0.18% to close at 43.89. It is currently trading +62% above it's 52 week low of 26.95 and is down only -19% from it's 52 week high.

[Themes containing NTRI]

Buy-and-Hold investors in NTRI experienced a maximum drawdown of -14.56% over the last three months. It returned +19.92% during this strong up trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, while the long signals were significantly more profitable than the short signals.

Trend

NTRI has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, NTRI outperformed the SP500 index on 52% days.

During the last three months NTRI delivered losses on 55% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a profit. It's best return during this period (of +27.72%) was on Monday, 10 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.8%) was on Monday, 15 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 5 Oct, 2018 and went on till 11 Oct, 2018. The trend delivered -4.89% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 23 Nov, 2018 and ended on 29 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +5.35% to investors.

NTRI had 7 profitable and 5 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, NTRI underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. NTRI was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Feb 2018, returned -28.9% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. NTRI had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 4 straight months during the last year.

It is not the man who has too little, but the man who craves more, that is poor.
-- Seneca

NTRI is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in NTRI's volatility from 24 Sep, 2018 to 1 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that NTRI has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than NTRI. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than NTRI in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than NTRI.

Based on your interest in NTRI you may find it interesting to know that LULU, RHT and SQ are mid caps that have all shown remarkable performance and qualify to be on every investor's watchlist.

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