LCI INDUSTRIES

70.83 -0.94 (-1.32%) Buy

Looking to invest in LCII? Look for alternatives because it performed worse than the broader market

13 min read

LCI INDUSTRIES was among the worst performers today. It fell by -1.32% to close at 70.83. It's recent 5 day performance has been -0.6%, -10.21%, +3.93%, +1.43% and -0.01%.

[Themes containing LCII]

LCII showed a strong bearish trend over the last 3 months. During this period LCII fell by -24.29% and saw a maximum drawdown of -29.68%. There were 2 short signals during this period that returned a cumulative of +6.08% to investors.

Trend

LCII has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 30 Nov, 2017 to 31 Oct, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 3 days, LCII underperformed the SP500 index on 47% days. Which indicates that on days LCII underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

LCII returned losses on 61% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.4% per day. It delivered it's best daily return of +12.07%, during this period, on Thursday, 1 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 9 losing days, which started on 20 Sep, 2018 and ended on 2 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -16.81% of investor capital.

During the last year LCII had 4 profitable months and 8 loss making months. LCII returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. LCII was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Jan 2018, returned -16.1% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. LCII had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 5 straight months (from Jan 2018 to May 2018) during which period it delivered -33.33%.

I'd like to live as a poor man with lots of money.
-- Pablo Picasso

LCII is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in LCII's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 1 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that LCII has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than LCII. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than LCII in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than LCII.

Based on your interest in LCII you may find it interesting to know that DLPH and AYTU have both shown remarkable performance and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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