JBSS investors hurt by serious losses
17 Dec, 201813 min read
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SANFILIPPO JOHN B & SON INC ranked among the worst performers on Monday. It fell by -1.78% to close at 61.1. It is currently trading -22% below it's 52 week high of 79.01.
JBSS is currently in a bearish trend. The current bearish signal has generated a profit of +15.16% for investors in the last three months.
JBSS has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 9 Mar, 2016 to 9 Mar, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, JBSS underperformed the SP500 index on 48% days. Which indicates that on days JBSS underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.
During the last three months JBSS was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.24% per day. It's best return during this period (of +3.32%) was on Monday, 29 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -14.71%) was on Wednesday, 31 Oct, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 5 profitable days, which started on 27 Nov, 2018 and went on till 3 Dec, 2018. This bullish trend returned +4.11% to investors.
During the last year JBSS had 5 profitable months and 7 loss making months. JBSS returned profits in fewer months than SP500 index. JBSS significantly outperformed SP500 index in May 2018, when it returned +19.21% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. JBSS had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 5 straight months during the last year.
I don't really enjoy finance and accounting.
-- Holly Branson
JBSS is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in JBSS's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 31 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that JBSS has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.
SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than JBSS. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than JBSS in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than JBSS.
On a general note (since you are interested in JBSS), three instruments that deserve special mention are APRN, AYTU and TYHT. They have all outperformed the market and must be closely watched for investment opportunities.
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