I
INTELSAT S.A. (FOREIGN)

21.57 -1.58 (-7.31%) Sell

Are you evaluating investing in I? Avoid as it was among the worst performers

13 min read

I was among the worst performers today. On a longer term basis, investors in INTELSAT S.A. (Foreign) made +0.1% per day. Friday's performance of -7.31% was a significant underperformance compared to it's daily average.

[Themes containing I]

I showed a down trend over the last 3 months. During this period I lost -4.64% and saw a maximum drawdown of -42.45%. There were 3 short signals during this period that returned a cumulative of +6.7% to investors.

Trend

I has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 17 Oct, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 3 days, I outperformed the SP500 index on 52% days.

During the last three months I was mostly profitable and delivered on average +0.06% per day. It's best return during this period (of +19.21%) was on Tuesday, 25 Sep, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.8%) was on Friday, 26 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 24 Sep, 2018 and went on till 1 Oct, 2018. The bullish trend returned +33.92% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 23 Oct, 2018 and ended on 30 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -30.13% of investor capital.

I had 6 profitable and 6 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, I underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. I significantly outperformed SP500 index in Apr 2018, when it returned +170.64% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. I had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 3 straight months during the last year.

You must gain control over your money or the lack of it will forever control you.
-- Dave Ramsey

I is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in I's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 25 Sep, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that I has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than I. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than I in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than I.

On a general note (since you are interested in I), three instruments that deserve special mention are NIHD, HEAR and PRQR. They have all outperformed the market and must be closely watched for investment opportunities.

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