125.54 -6.51 (-5.19%) Sell

HUBS investors incur serious losses

13 min read

HUBSPOT INC ranked among the worst performers on Monday. It delivered -5.19% to close at 125.54. It is currently trading +43% above it's 52 week low of 87.5 and is down only -21% from it's 52 week high.

[Themes containing HUBS]

HUBS is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months trading short signals has not been a profitable strategy for HUBS's investors in general. However, this strategy had significantly lower risk when compared to Buy-and-Hold investing (which returned -15.49%). It is therefore better to tread with caution in the current downtrend by limiting your allocation to HUBS.


HUBS has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 9 Feb, 2016 to 14 Sep, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, HUBS outperformed the SP500 index on 54% days.

During the last three months HUBS was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.2% per day. It's best return during this period (of +7.98%) was on Wednesday, 28 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -14.42%) was on Monday, 19 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 5 losing days, which started on 8 Nov, 2018 and ended on 14 Nov, 2018. This bearish trend lost -12.7% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw HUBS's investors making profits in 7 months and incurring losses in 5 months. HUBS was less consistent in delivering monthly returs than SP500 index. HUBS significantly outperformed SP500 index in Aug 2018, when it returned +15.79% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. HUBS had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 2 straight months during the last year.

Believe you can and you're halfway there.
-- Theodore Roosevelt

HUBS is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in HUBS's volatility from 28 Sep, 2018 to 19 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that HUBS has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than HUBS. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than HUBS in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than HUBS.

On a general note (since you are interested in HUBS), PFE is a large cap that deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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