26.03 +0.02 (+0.08%) Sell

Joy for HPT investors as it ranks better than it's peers but, has not managed to breakout

13 min read

HOSPITALITY PROPERTIES TRUST outperformed the broader market today. It increased by +0.08% to close at 26.03. It's recent 5 day performance has been +1.76%, -0.39%, -0.54%, -1.45% and -1.73%.

[Themes containing HPT]

HPT is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months 2 bearish signals have generated a profit of +4.43% for investors.


HPT has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 1 Aug, 2016 to 6 Mar, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, HPT underperformed the SP500 index on 46% days. Which indicates that on days HPT underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months HPT was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.14% per day. It's best return during this period (of +3.45%) was on Wednesday, 7 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -3.37%) was on Tuesday, 4 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 8 losing days, which started on 22 Oct, 2018 and ended on 31 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -3.52% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw HPT's investors making profits in 4 months and incurring losses in 8 months. HPT was less consistent in delivering monthly returs than SP500 index. HPT significantly outperformed SP500 index in May 2018, when it returned +16.36% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. HPT had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 3 straight months (from Jan 2018 to Mar 2018) during which period it delivered -16.17%.

Traditionally, the sample is always better than the stock you deliver to the store.
-- Calvin Klein

HPT is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in HPT's volatility from 21 Sep, 2018 to 7 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that HPT has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect HPT to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes HPT a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

HPT has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, HPT must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than HPT.

Based on your interest in HPT you may find it interesting to know that HEAR and TPNL have both shown remarkable performance this year and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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