15.01 +0.66 (+4.38%) Sell

Profit booking on the minds of FTAI investors as it ranks better than it's peers but, has not managed to breakout

13 min read

FORTRESS TRANSPORTATION & INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTORS LLC was among the best performers on Wednesday. It returned +4.38% to close at 15.01. It is currently trading -25% below it's 52 week high of 20.02.

[Themes containing FTAI]

FTAI is currently in a down trend. Over the last three months 3 bearish signals have generated a profit of +8.3% for investors.


FTAI has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 22 Dec, 2017. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 8 days, FTAI outperformed the SP500 index on 52% days.

During the last three months FTAI was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.26% per day. It's best return during this period (of +4.38%) was on Wednesday, 12 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -3.62%) was on Wednesday, 24 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 13 Sep, 2018 and went on till 21 Sep, 2018. The bullish trend returned +5.28% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 17 Oct, 2018 and ended on 24 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -6.33% of investor capital.

On monthly basis, FTAI delivered losses in more months over the last year, than profits. FTAI delivered profits less regularly than SP500 index. FTAI was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Feb 2018, returned -9.53% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. FTAI had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 4 straight months during the last year.

Many people take no care of their money till they come nearly to the end of it, and others do just the same with their time.
-- Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

FTAI is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in FTAI's volatility from 5 Oct, 2018 to 12 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that FTAI has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than FTAI. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than FTAI in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than FTAI.

On a general note (since you are interested in FTAI), two instruments that have delivered similar performance as FTAI are AGCO and SYMC. They are suitable as good alternative investment candidates that can diversify your portfolio.

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