46.96 +0.06 (+0.13%) Buy

Sun shines over EXC investors as it was among the best performers

13 min read

EXC outperformed the broader market today. On a longer term basis, investors in EXELON CORP made -0.01% per day. Friday's performance of +0.13% was a outperformance compared to it's daily average.

[Themes containing EXC]

Buy-and-Hold investors in EXC experienced a maximum drawdown of -5.42% over the last three months. It increased by +5.24% during this bullish trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, while the long signals were significantly more profitable than the short signals.


EXC has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 1 Feb, 2018 to 7 Dec, 2018. One must note that EXC is currently at it's peak outperformance to the SP500 index which makes it a good investment candidate. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 3 days, EXC outperformed the SP500 index on 53% days.

During the last three months EXC was mostly profitable and delivered on average +0.09% per day. It's best return during this period (of +2.44%) was on Friday, 19 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -2.17%) was on Wednesday, 19 Sep, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 7 profitable days, which started on 5 Nov, 2018 and went on till 13 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +5.66% to investors.

During the last year EXC had 8 profitable months and 4 loss making months. Profitable number of months of EXC and SP500 index were the same. EXC significantly outperformed SP500 index in Nov 2018, when it returned +5.89% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. EXC had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 4 straight months during the last year.

Buy when everyone else is selling and hold until everyone else is buying. That's not just a catchy slogan. It's the very essence of successful investing.
-- J. Paul Getty

EXC is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in EXC's volatility from 18 Sep, 2018 to 11 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 10 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that EXC has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect EXC to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes EXC a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

EXC has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, EXC must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than EXC.

Based on your interest in EXC you may find it interesting to know that ABMD, TWTR and SQ are mid caps that have all shown remarkable performance and qualify to be on every investor's watchlist.

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