25.01 0.0 (0.0%) Sell

DSW continues its fall as more investors loose confidence

13 min read

DSW INC. showed weakness today. It returned 0.0% to close at 25.01. During the last week it returned -5.12% and saw a maximum drawdown of -12.25% before bouncing back.

[Themes containing DSW]

DSW is currently in a down trend. The current bearish signal has generated a profit of +12.28% for investors in the last three months.


DSW has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 15 Mar, 2016. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 7 days, DSW underperformed the SP500 index on 47% days. Which indicates that on days DSW underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months DSW delivered profits on 51% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a loss. It's best return during this period (of +8.13%) was on Tuesday, 11 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -12.76%) was on Wednesday, 10 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 1 Nov, 2018 and went on till 8 Nov, 2018. The bullish trend returned +7.31% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 9 Nov, 2018 and ended on 15 Nov, 2018. This bearish trend lost -11.45% of investor capital.

On monthly basis, DSW delivered profits in more months over the last year, than losses. DSW delivered profits less regularly than SP500 index. DSW was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -21.64% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. DSW had a longer winning streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It went up in 7 straight months (from Mar 2018 to Sep 2018) during which period it delivered +58.24%.

"Money is like manure. You have to spread it around or it smells.

DSW is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in DSW's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 11 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that DSW has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect DSW to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes DSW a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than DSW. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than DSW in your portfolio. DSW usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

Based on your interest in DSW you may find it interesting to know that HQY is a small cap that has shown remarkable performance and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.

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