8.69 +0.09 (+1.05%) Sell

Are you evaluating investing in DB? Consider as it is looking better than most other alternatives

13 min read

DEUTSCHE BANK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT (Foreign) delivered good returns today. It grew by +1.05% to close at 8.69. It's recent 5 day performance has been -2.27%, -0.79%, -1.77%, +8.4% and -0.6%.

[Themes containing DB]

DB showed a strong down trend over the last 3 months. During this period DB lost -27.28% and saw a maximum drawdown of -32.5%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +22.66%.


DB has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 14 days, DB underperformed the SP500 index on 53% days.

During the last three months DB was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.47% per day. It's best return during this period (of +8.4%) was on Wednesday, 12 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -6.54%) was on Wednesday, 24 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 24 Sep, 2018 and went on till 2 Oct, 2018. The trend delivered -10.22% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 30 Oct, 2018 and ended on 2 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +8.89% to investors.

DB had 2 profitable and 10 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, DB underperformed SP500 index on monthly return basis. DB significantly outperformed SP500 index in Jul 2018, when it returned +22.74% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. DB had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 6 straight months (from Jan 2018 to Jun 2018) during which period it delivered -53.7%. It is interesting to note that both DB and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

"I'm involved in the stock market, which is fun and, sometimes, very painful.

DB is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in DB's volatility from 3 Oct, 2018 to 12 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Investors trading in DB derivatives at this moment can consider 'Bull Call Spread' options strategy to receive better risk-adjusted returns.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than DB. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than DB in your portfolio.

On a general note (since you are interested in DB), NSPR has performed really well and deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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