CIVITAS SOLUTIONS, INC. delivered good returns on Monday. It grew by +1.91% to close at 14.96. It is currently trading +31% above it's 52 week low of 11.35 and is down only -16% from it's 52 week high.
CIVI showed a up trend over the last 3 months. During this period CIVI grew by +4.62% and saw a maximum drawdown of -21.42%. It has been unusually choppy during this period. Long term investors are better off avoiding investing in CIVI till volatility reduces and a clear trend emerges.
CIVI has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, CIVI underperformed the SP500 index on 49% days. Which indicates that on days CIVI underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.
During the last three months CIVI delivered losses on 58% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a profit. It's best return during this period (of +16.32%) was on Friday, 14 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -4.1%) was on Thursday, 13 Dec, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 18 Sep, 2018 and went on till 21 Sep, 2018. The bullish trend returned +2.43% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 17 Oct, 2018 and ended on 24 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -8.91% of investor capital.
On monthly basis, CIVI delivered losses in more months over the last year, than profits. CIVI delivered profits less regularly than SP500 index. CIVI was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Feb 2018, returned -25.93% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. CIVI had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 5 straight months (from Jul 2018 to Nov 2018) during which period it delivered -16.17%.
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CIVI is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in CIVI's volatility from 1 Oct, 2018 to 14 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.
Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that CIVI has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect CIVI to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes CIVI a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.
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