5.74 -0.18 (-3.2%) Sell

The party never started for CHS investors as it was among the worst performers

13 min read

CHICOS FAS INC was among the worst performers today. It returned -3.2% to close at 5.74. It's recent 5 day performance has been +2.24%, -2.36%, +2.77%, -1.37% and +8.52%.

[Themes containing CHS]

CHS is currently in a down trend. The current bearish signal has generated a profit of +32.31% for investors in the last three months.


CHS has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 9 Dec, 2016. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 7 days, CHS underperformed the SP500 index on 48% days. Which indicates that on days CHS underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

CHS returned losses on 55% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.46% per day. It delivered it's worst daily return of -34.56%, during this period, on Wednesday, 28 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 4 Oct, 2018 and went on till 9 Oct, 2018. The trend delivered -4.72% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 22 Oct, 2018 and ended on 25 Oct, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +10.08% to investors.

On monthly basis, CHS delivered profits and losses in equal number of months. CHS delivered profits less regularly than SP500 index. CHS was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Nov 2018, returned -29.6% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. CHS had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 3 straight months (from Sep 2018 to Nov 2018) during which period it delivered -45.03%. It is interesting to note that both CHS and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

Let him who would enjoy a good future waste none of his present.
-- Roger Babson

CHS is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in CHS's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 28 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 13 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that CHS has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect CHS to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes CHS a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than CHS. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than CHS in your portfolio. CHS usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

Based on your interest in CHS you may find it interesting to know that NIHD, TNDM and PRQR have all shown remarkable performance this year and deserve to be on every investor's watchlist.

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