CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL, INC.

13.17 0.0 (0.0%) Buy

CFFN investors not showing any loss of confidence as it pauses to catch its breath

13 min read

CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL, INC. underperformed today. It delivered 0.0% to close at 13.17. During the last week it delivered -0.08% and saw a maximum drawdown of -1.27% before bouncing back.

[Themes containing CFFN]

Buy-and-Hold investors in CFFN experienced a maximum drawdown of -8.18% over the last three months. It delivered +0.69% during this flat trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, while the long signals were marginally more profitable than the short signals.

Trend

CFFN has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant underperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 28 Dec, 2016 to 2 Oct, 2018. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 10 days, CFFN underperformed the SP500 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days CFFN underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months CFFN delivered losses on 54% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a profit. It's best return during this period (of +2.99%) was on Wednesday, 28 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -4.65%) was on Tuesday, 4 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 7 profitable days, which started on 21 Nov, 2018 and went on till 30 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend returned +6.09% to investors.

The last 12 months saw CFFN's investors making profits in 5 months and incurring losses in 7 months. CFFN was less consistent in delivering monthly returs than SP500 index. CFFN significantly outperformed SP500 index in Nov 2018, when it returned +13.13% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. CFFN had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 3 straight months during the last year.

"Confronted with a challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, Margin of Safety.

CFFN is currently seeing overall increase in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in CFFN's volatility from 17 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 25 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that CFFN has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect CFFN to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes CFFN a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

CFFN has more chance of extreme outcomes than the SP500 index. Therefore, CFFN must receive a lower allocation than SP500 in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than CFFN.

Based on your interest in CFFN you may find it interesting to know that ICPT, IMTE and OPNT are all extremely risky investment candidates that must be evaluated carefully. Investors with low risk profile are better off avoiding them till their performance becomes more consistent.

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