7.63 +0.05 (+0.66%) Sell

Don't give up on BKD now, it gave a fairly good return

13 min read

BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC. is looking better than most other alternatives on Tuesday. It grew by +0.66% to close at 7.63. It is currently trading -25% below it's 52 week high of 10.26.

[Themes containing BKD]

BKD showed a strong down trend over the last 3 months. During this period BKD returned -18.74% and saw a maximum drawdown of -22.89%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +18.93%.


BKD has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 14 days, BKD underperformed the SP500 index on 51% days.

During the last three months BKD delivered profits on 53% days. However, it still managed to end this period in a loss. It's best return during this period (of +5.21%) was on Tuesday, 30 Oct, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -11.43%) was on Monday, 19 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 29 Oct, 2018 and went on till 1 Nov, 2018. The bullish trend returned +12.66% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 12 Dec, 2018 and ended on 17 Dec, 2018. This bearish trend lost -11.11% of investor capital.

On monthly basis, BKD delivered profits and losses in equal number of months. BKD delivered profits less regularly than SP500 index. BKD was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Feb 2018, returned -31.26% compared to -7.75% returned by SP500 index in Dec 2018. BKD and SP500 index, both had periods of 6 consecutive profitable months.

"The real measure of your wealth is how much you'd be worth if you lost all your money

BKD is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in BKD's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 7 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 19 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that BKD has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect BKD to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes BKD a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than BKD. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than BKD in your portfolio. BKD usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

On a general note (since you are interested in BKD), two large cap instruments that deserve special mention are PFE and CSCO. They have significantly outperformed the overall market.

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