70.49 -0.88 (-1.25%) Sell

Prayers for ANAB investors as it delivered massive losses

13 min read

ANAPTYSBIO INC is a falling knife that can bleed you if you catch it today. It delivered -1.25% to close at 70.49. During the last week it delivered -2.07% and saw a maximum drawdown of -2.07%.

[Themes containing ANAB]

ANAB is currently in a bearish trend. Over the last three months 2 bearish signals have generated a profit of +8.26% for investors.


ANAB has been underperforming the SP500 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the SP500 index) from 1 Feb, 2017 to 2 Mar, 2018. Over the last 1 year and 11 months, ANAB outperformed the SP500 index on 52% days.

During the last three months ANAB was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.23% per day. It's best return during this period (of +9.9%) was on Thursday, 1 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -10.75%) was on Friday, 9 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trend during this period was 8 losing days, which started on 4 Oct, 2018 and ended on 15 Oct, 2018. This bearish trend lost -23.72% of investor capital.

The last 12 months saw ANAB's investors making profits in 5 months and incurring losses in 7 months. ANAB was less consistent in delivering monthly returs than SP500 index. ANAB was also a more risky investment than SP500 index as it's worst month in the last year, Oct 2018, returned -24.71% compared to -7.28% returned by SP500 index in Oct 2018. ANAB had a longer winning streak of losing months than SP500 index. It went down in 4 straight months (from Mar 2018 to Jun 2018) during which period it delivered -41.21%. It is interesting to note that both ANAB and SP500 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

"Experience taught me a few things. One is to listen to your gut, no matter how good something sounds on paper. The second is that you're generally better off sticking with what you know. And the third is that sometimes your best investments are the ones you don't make.

ANAB is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing increase in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ANAB's volatility from 21 Sep, 2018 to 24 Sep, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 14 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ANAB has negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors may need to stay invested through long periods of drawdown before expecting a recovery.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than ANAB. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than ANAB in your portfolio. SP500 index usually has shorter drawdown period than ANAB.

On a general note (since you are interested in ANAB), BURL is a small cap that deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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