ADVANCED EMISSIONS SOLUTIONS, INC.

10.46 -0.07 (-0.66%) Buy

Don't consider buying ADES now, it is risky at the moment

13 min read

ADVANCED EMISSIONS SOLUTIONS, INC. delivered massive losses today. It lost -0.66% to close at 10.46. It's recent 5 day performance has been +0.19%, -0.38%, +0.29%, 0.0% and +0.57%.

[Themes containing ADES]

ADES showed a down trend over the last 3 months. During this period ADES lost -8.0% and saw a maximum drawdown of -22.95%. There was a short signal during this period which returned +1.39%.

Trend

ADES has been outperforming the SP500 index in recent time. Over the last 2 years 11 months and 9 days, ADES underperformed the SP500 index on 50% days. Which indicates that on days ADES underperforms the SP500 index, it's performance is marginally worse than on the days it outperforms the SP500 index.

During the last three months ADES was mostly loss making and delivered on average -0.11% per day. It's best return during this period (of +6.96%) was on Wednesday, 28 Nov, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -7.22%) was on Wednesday, 24 Oct, 2018. There was initially a bearish trend during this period which started on 4 Oct, 2018 and went on till 15 Oct, 2018. The trend delivered -16.47% losses to investors. This was followed by a bullish trend that started on 26 Oct, 2018 and ended on 2 Nov, 2018. This bullish trend delivered +5.97% to investors.

ADES had 8 profitable and 4 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, number of profitable months of ADES and SP500 index were the same. ADES significantly outperformed SP500 index in Feb 2018, when it returned +19.6% compared to +4.75% returned by SP500 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jan 2018. ADES had a shorter streak of profitable months than SP500 index. It only went up in 5 straight months during the last year.

"Cash combined with courage in a time of crisis is priceless.

ADES is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the SP500 index is seeing a rise in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in ADES's volatility from 14 Sep, 2018 to 7 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant surge in the SP500 index's volatility from 14 Sep, 2018 to 29 Oct, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that ADES has significant positive skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that investors can expect ADES to recover from drawdowns quickly. Which makes ADES a good candidate for investing on short-term bullish trends or even counter-trends hoping for a pull-back.

SP500 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than ADES. Therefore, SP500 must receive a lower allocation than ADES in your portfolio. ADES usually has shorter drawdown period than the SP500 index.

Based on your interest in ADES you may find it interesting to know that NIHD and AMRN have both shown remarkable performance this year and deserve to be on every investors' watchlist.

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