2567.95 +6.37 (+0.25%) Buy

MONSANTO continues it's uptrend, although on a weaker note

13 min read

MONSANTO INDIA LIMITED managed to outperform the broader market today. It surged by +0.25% to close at 2567.95. During the last week it surged by +0.39% and saw a maximum drawdown of -0.21% before bouncing back.

[Themes containing MONSANTO]

MONSANTO is currently in a bullish trend. Over the last three months Buy-and-Hold has been a better strategy (returning -2.62%) for MONSANTO's investors than trading long signals.


MONSANTO has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the NIFTY-50 index) from 11 Apr, 2016 to 15 Jun, 2016. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, MONSANTO underperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 54% days.

MONSANTO returned losses on 59% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.03% per day. It delivered it's best daily return of +7.01%, during this period, on Friday, 30 Nov, 2018. The longest stort-term trends during this period were 5 profitable and losing days. The bullish trend (which returned +11.8%) started on 27 Nov, 2018 and went on till 3 Dec, 2018 while the bearish trend (which returned -6.28%) started on 22 Oct, 2018 and went on till 26 Oct, 2018.

The last 12 months saw MONSANTO's investors making profits in 6 months and incurring losses in 6 months. During the last year, MONSANTO delivered profits in more months than NIFTY-50 index. MONSANTO significantly outperformed NIFTY-50 index in Mar 2018, when it returned +10.04% compared to +6.56% returned by NIFTY-50 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jul 2018. MONSANTO had a longer winning streak of profitable months than NIFTY-50 index. It went up in 4 straight months (from May 2018 to Aug 2018) during which period it delivered +8.23%.

What we really want to do is what we are really meant to do. When we do what we are meant to do, money comes to us, doors open for us, we feel useful, and the work we do feels like play to us.
-- Julia Cameron

MONSANTO is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing decrease in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in MONSANTO's volatility from 29 Oct, 2018 to 14 Nov, 2018. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that MONSANTO has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that MONSANTO is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than MONSANTO. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than MONSANTO in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than MONSANTO.

Based on your interest in MONSANTO you may find it interesting to know that NIITTECH, VINATIORGA and RESPONIND are small caps that have all shown remarkable performance and qualify to be on every investor's watchlist.

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