938.25 -3.93 (-0.42%) Buy

GUJFLUORO investors doing a reality check

13 min read

GUJFLUORO ranked worse than it's peers today. On a longer term basis, investors in GUJARAT FLUOROCHEMICALS L made +0.09% per day. Friday's performance of -0.42% was a significant underperformance compared to it's daily average.

[Themes containing GUJFLUORO]

Buy-and-Hold investors in GUJFLUORO experienced a maximum drawdown of -6.3% over the last three months. It grew by +4.93% during this up trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, while the long signals were significantly more profitable than the short signals.


GUJFLUORO has been outperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, GUJFLUORO outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 44% days. Which indicates that on days GUJFLUORO outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.

During the last three months GUJFLUORO was mostly profitable and delivered on average +0.08% per day. It's best return during this period (of +2.68%) was on Friday, 28 Dec, 2018. While it's worst loss in the same period (of -2.98%) was on Thursday, 15 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 7 Nov, 2018 and went on till 14 Nov, 2018. The bullish trend returned +5.98% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 19 Dec, 2018 and ended on 27 Dec, 2018. This bearish trend lost -4.6% of investor capital.

GUJFLUORO had 9 profitable and 3 loss making months over the last year. GUJFLUORO was profitable in more months than NIFTY-50 index. GUJFLUORO significantly outperformed NIFTY-50 index in Oct 2018, when it returned +12.31% compared to +6.56% returned by NIFTY-50 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jul 2018. GUJFLUORO had a longer winning streak of profitable months than NIFTY-50 index. It went up in 7 straight months (from Jul 2018 to Jan 2019) during which period it delivered +28.96%. It is interesting to note that both GUJFLUORO and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

"One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute.

GUJFLUORO is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing a fall in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in GUJFLUORO's volatility from 22 Oct, 2018 to 4 Jan, 2019. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that GUJFLUORO has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that GUJFLUORO is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than GUJFLUORO. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than GUJFLUORO in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than GUJFLUORO.

On a general note (since you are interested in GUJFLUORO), if you are an investor in HATSUN, you need to be extra careful (consider limiting your exposure or diversifying) as it is extremely unpredictable and therefore risky.

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