GUJ. APOLLO IND. LTD.

160.55 +0.05 (+0.03%) Buy

GUJAPOLLO investors hold onto their investments as it marginally outperforms

13 min read

GUJ. APOLLO IND. LTD. managed to marginally outperform the broader market on Friday. It gained +0.03% to close at 160.55. On a day when the overall market breadth was 71%, it closed higher than 48% of the market. In comparison, the benchmark NIFTY-50 index closed today at +0.02%.

[Themes containing GUJAPOLLO]

GUJAPOLLO is currently in a up trend. Over the last three months Buy-and-Hold has been a better strategy (returning +4.73%) for GUJAPOLLO's investors than trading long signals.

Trend

GUJAPOLLO has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 12 Sep, 2017. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, GUJAPOLLO underperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 55% days.

GUJAPOLLO returned losses on 56% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average +0.13% per day. It delivered it's best daily return of +17.61%, during this period, on Friday, 16 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 6 Nov, 2018 and went on till 9 Nov, 2018. The bullish trend returned +4.4% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 21 Dec, 2018 and ended on 26 Dec, 2018. This bearish trend lost -7.87% of investor capital.

GUJAPOLLO had 4 profitable and 8 loss making months over the last year. During the last year, GUJAPOLLO underperformed NIFTY-50 index on monthly return basis. GUJAPOLLO was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Sep 2018, returned -16.07% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. GUJAPOLLO had a longer winning streak of losing months than NIFTY-50 index. It went down in 5 straight months (from May 2018 to Sep 2018) during which period it delivered -33.66%. It is interesting to note that both GUJAPOLLO and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

The secret to investing is to figure out the value of something - and then pay a lot less.
-- Joel Greenblatt

GUJAPOLLO is becoming less volatile overall. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing a fall in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in GUJAPOLLO's volatility from 19 Oct, 2018 to 22 Oct, 2018. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that GUJAPOLLO has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that GUJAPOLLO is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than GUJAPOLLO. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than GUJAPOLLO in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than GUJAPOLLO.

On a general note (since you are interested in GUJAPOLLO), VINATIORGA is a small cap that deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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