134.45 -1.58 (-1.18%) Sell

GENESYS continues its fall as more investors loose confidence

14 min read

GENESYS INTL CORPN LTD underperformed on Friday. It fell by -1.18% to close at 134.45. On a day when the overall market breadth was 71%, it closed higher than 83% of the market. In comparison, the benchmark NIFTY-50 index closed today at +0.02%.

[Themes containing GENESYS]

Buy-and-Hold investors in GENESYS experienced a maximum drawdown of -25.14% over the last three months. It fell by -9.4% during this bearish trending period. There were both Long and Short signals during this period, where the short signals were significantly more profitable than the long signals. The net profit from Short signals was +5.13%.


GENESYS has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time. It showed significant outperformance (compared to the NIFTY-50 index) from 18 Aug, 2016 to 12 Oct, 2017. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, GENESYS outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 45% days. Which indicates that on days GENESYS outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.

GENESYS returned losses on 55% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.11% per day. It delivered it's best daily return of +18.59%, during this period, on Thursday, 20 Dec, 2018. The longest stort-term trends during this period were 5 profitable and losing days. The bullish trend (which returned +10.73%) started on 29 Oct, 2018 and went on till 2 Nov, 2018 while the bearish trend (which returned -13.05%) started on 22 Nov, 2018 and went on till 29 Nov, 2018.

During the last year GENESYS had 5 profitable months and 7 loss making months. Profitable number of months of GENESYS and NIFTY-50 index were the same. GENESYS was also a more risky investment than NIFTY-50 index as it's worst month in the last year, Sep 2018, returned -27.78% compared to -6.42% returned by NIFTY-50 index in Sep 2018. GENESYS and NIFTY-50 index, both had periods of 2 consecutive losing months. It is interesting to note that both GENESYS and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

You can only become truly accomplished at something you love. Don't make money your goal. Instead, pursue the things you love doing, and then do them so well that people can't take their eyes off you.
-- Maya Angelou

GENESYS is currently seeing overall fall in volatility. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing decrease in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant surge in GENESYS's volatility from 24 Oct, 2018 to 20 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that GENESYS has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that GENESYS is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than GENESYS. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than GENESYS in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than GENESYS.

Based on your interest in GENESYS you may find it interesting to know that SPLIL has shown remarkable performance this year and deserves to be on every investors' watchlist.

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