3341.95 +102.02 (+3.05%) Sell

Are you evaluating investing in EXCELCROP? Consider as it managed to marginally outperform the broader market

13 min read

EXCELCROP delivered stellar performance today. On a longer term basis, investors in EXCEL CROP CARE LTD made +0.17% per day. Wednesday's performance of +3.05% was a significant outperformance compared to it's daily average.

[Themes containing EXCELCROP]

EXCELCROP showed a down trend over the last 3 months. During this period EXCELCROP lost -7.66% and saw a maximum drawdown of -18.0%. There were 2 short signals during this period that returned a cumulative of +9.0% to investors.


EXCELCROP has been underperforming the NIFTY-50 index in recent time, after having outperformed till 1 Aug, 2018. Over the last 3 years and 1 month, EXCELCROP outperformed the NIFTY-50 index on 46% days. Which indicates that on days EXCELCROP outperforms the NIFTY-50 index, it's performance is marginally better than on the days it underperforms the NIFTY-50 index.

EXCELCROP returned losses on 58% days in the last three months. During this time, it delivered on average -0.11% per day. It delivered it's worst daily return of -6.67%, during this period, on Monday, 5 Nov, 2018. There was initially a bullish trend during this period which started on 11 Dec, 2018 and went on till 17 Dec, 2018. The bullish trend returned +11.6% to investors. This was followed by a bearish trend that started on 4 Jan, 2019 and ended on 15 Jan, 2019. This bearish trend lost -8.67% of investor capital.

EXCELCROP had 5 profitable and 7 loss making months over the last year. EXCELCROP was profitable in more months than NIFTY-50 index. EXCELCROP significantly outperformed NIFTY-50 index in Jul 2018, when it returned +41.78% compared to +6.56% returned by NIFTY-50 index during it's best month in the last one year - Jul 2018. EXCELCROP and NIFTY-50 index, both had periods of 2 consecutive profitable months. It is interesting to note that both EXCELCROP and NIFTY-50 index significantly outperform during months when quarterly/annual results are announced.

The stock market clearly values companies that can deliver disruptive innovation.
-- Steve Blank

EXCELCROP is becoming more volatile overall. In comparison, the NIFTY-50 index is seeing a fall in volatility. During the last three months, there was a significant fall in EXCELCROP's volatility from 24 Oct, 2018 to 10 Dec, 2018. While there was a significant fall in the NIFTY-50 index's volatility from 31 Oct, 2018 to 5 Dec, 2018.

Advanced/professional short-term investors should note that EXCELCROP has significant negative skewness in it's return distribution. This indicates that EXCELCROP is very risky for short-term investment and can significantly underperform for long durations.

NIFTY-50 index has more chance of extreme outcomes than EXCELCROP. Therefore, NIFTY-50 must receive a lower allocation than EXCELCROP in your portfolio. NIFTY-50 index usually has shorter drawdown period than EXCELCROP.

On a general note (since you are interested in EXCELCROP), HATSUN has performed really well this year and deserves to be closely tracked for investment opportunities.

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